07-02-2012, 07:41 AM,
(This post was last modified: 07-02-2012, 08:00 AM by Flask Man.)
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Flask Man
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Posts: 401
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RE: Free in Hot AC Top 40! (now Top 30)
Is Haley suffering bad karma for not returning the twitter album love/support to Casey? Haley had another rough day (-8, 651), and unless something drastically changes this could be the beginning of the FREE Fall (pardon the pun). I had hoped the Dees/Seacrest Sunday countdowns would give a temporary boost, but her spinlosses were too heavy.
Meanwhile, Phillip (+10, 602) is quickly approaching striking distance and could catch her as early as Wednesday. Crashing hard from above is John Mayer, (851) who's lost over 850 spins since last week and will likely sink below Haley just as P2 passes (provided she can avoid the free fall herself). Another one who could possibly play a factor by the end of the week is FUN (548), who gained nearly 70 spins over the weekend.
Bottom line: Could be a tough week ahead, but I've been wrong before and hopefully I'll be wrong again this time. One thing I do believe is that Free already peaked and is now in decline...let's just hope it's more gradual than Daughtry's.
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07-03-2012, 07:18 AM,
(This post was last modified: 07-03-2012, 07:28 AM by Flask Man.)
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Flask Man
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Posts: 401
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RE: Free in Hot AC Top 40! (now Top 30)
Haley continued to leak spins today (-7, 644, #31), but at least she's not spiraling into FREE fall. Phillip (+22, 624, #32) is really picking up steam, and will pass her either tomorrow or the next day. The P2 pass will be balanced by the plummeting John Mayer (-88, 763, #28), who will sink below Haley by Thursday or Friday.
Also from below, FUN (+20, 568) is gaining fast and will likely zip past Haley over the weekend. The rest of the potential players, both above and below, are a bit further away from impact, so I'll hold off mentioning them for the time being.
Bottom line: Not a great report, but so long as Haley maintains a slow decline with periodic leveling it's not the end of the world. The key will be Interscope properly timing the release the the BoB beast, ideally before the big plummet, so she always maintains a radio presence without any major gaps.
Of course, part of me secretly fantasizes that they'll skip the BoB single, unleash Spiderweb upon the unsuspecting masses (ideally while Spiderman is still in theaters), and watch Haley take over the world!! That song is just TOO HOT to keep hidden in the back of the bonus tracks.
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07-05-2012, 08:54 AM,
(This post was last modified: 07-05-2012, 08:57 AM by Flask Man.)
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Flask Man
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RE: Free in Hot AC Top 40! (now Top 30)
Well, whether it's bad karma from not reciprocating twitter album love to Casey, or just having passed the 90-day HAC expiration date without cracking the Top 20, either way, it's time to break out the bugle, play Taps, and salute the imminent end of the FREE radio era.
Sadly, Free bled all over the chart again today (-21, 597, #33 HAC), and was passed by FUN in the process. There are also three more artists poised to speed past her over the weekend, and more to follow the following week. The View appearance may give a minor boost, and she may get a few extra spins in Chicago as Lolla approaches, but none of that will reverse the fate. I've signed the DNR, so when she officially falls out of the Top 40 I'll mercifully pull the plug on updating this thread. It's pretty depressing seeing FREE in hospice, and I almost think it'll be a blessing when it's over and (hopefully) a bouncing new BoB single can be born to begin its promising life-cycle on the charts.
With that in mind, we can now reflect on Free's time on the charts and discuss whether it should be considered a hit, a flop, or something in between. At its peak, Free rose to #31 overall on iTunes, #27 on the MediaBase HAC chart, and #26 on Billboard's Adult Pop chart. It also received nearly universal critical acclaim. What does this mean? It means Free's sales and radio play was decent overall, but certainly not spectacular. In retrospect, though I personally do like Free, it would have been a better idea to release NTYH, HTGR, or WT as the lead single, as they are better reflections of the album's music style, can be effectively performed acoustically on the promo tour (unlike Oh My!), and are much more radio friendly.
Most importantly, since Listen Up!'s album sales are only meandering around 40k, and likely won't get much past 50k without a successful new single to give a boost, I'd say Free was a mild disappointment as a lead-off single from a dollars and cents perspective.
Free's overall grade as the lead single for Listen Up!: C+
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07-05-2012, 01:29 PM,
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gillyking
Member
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RE: Free in Hot AC Top 40! (now Top 30)
(07-05-2012, 08:54 AM)Flask Man Wrote: Well, whether it's bad karma from not reciprocating twitter album love to Casey, or just having passed the 90-day HAC expiration date without cracking the Top 20, either way, it's time to break out the bugle, play Taps, and salute the imminent end of the FREE radio era.
Sadly, Free bled all over the chart again today (-21, 597, #33 HAC), and was passed by FUN in the process. There are also three more artists poised to speed past her over the weekend, and more to follow the following week. The View appearance may give a minor boost, and she may get a few extra spins in Chicago as Lolla approaches, but none of that will reverse the fate. I've signed the DNR, so when she officially falls out of the Top 40 I'll mercifully pull the plug on updating this thread. It's pretty depressing seeing FREE in hospice, and I almost think it'll be a blessing when it's over and (hopefully) a bouncing new BoB single can be born to begin its promising life-cycle on the charts.
With that in mind, we can now reflect on Free's time on the charts and discuss whether it should be considered a hit, a flop, or something in between. At its peak, Free rose to #31 overall on iTunes, #27 on the MediaBase HAC chart, and #26 on Billboard's Adult Pop chart. It also received nearly universal critical acclaim. What does this mean? It means Free's sales and radio play was decent overall, but certainly not spectacular. In retrospect, though I personally do like Free, it would have been a better idea to release NTYH, HTGR, or WT as the lead single, as they are better reflections of the album's music style, can be effectively performed acoustically on the promo tour (unlike Oh My!), and are much more radio friendly.
Most importantly, since Listen Up!'s album sales are only meandering around 40k, and likely won't get much past 50k without a successful new single to give a boost, I'd say Free was a mild disappointment as a lead-off single from a dollars and cents perspective.
Free's overall grade as the lead single for Listen Up!: C+
Cannot tell you how much I'd love for her to produce, promote and release a sultry hot over the top video of Spiderweb!
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07-05-2012, 01:47 PM,
(This post was last modified: 07-05-2012, 02:00 PM by Flask Man.)
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Flask Man
Senior Member
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RE: Free in Hot AC Top 40! (now Top 30)
(07-05-2012, 01:29 PM)gillyking Wrote: (07-05-2012, 08:54 AM)Flask Man Wrote: Well, whether it's bad karma from not reciprocating twitter album love to Casey, or just having passed the 90-day HAC expiration date without cracking the Top 20, either way, it's time to break out the bugle, play Taps, and salute the imminent end of the FREE radio era.
Sadly, Free bled all over the chart again today (-21, 597, #33 HAC), and was passed by FUN in the process. There are also three more artists poised to speed past her over the weekend, and more to follow the following week. The View appearance may give a minor boost, and she may get a few extra spins in Chicago as Lolla approaches, but none of that will reverse the fate. I've signed the DNR, so when she officially falls out of the Top 40 I'll mercifully pull the plug on updating this thread. It's pretty depressing seeing FREE in hospice, and I almost think it'll be a blessing when it's over and (hopefully) a bouncing new BoB single can be born to begin its promising life-cycle on the charts.
With that in mind, we can now reflect on Free's time on the charts and discuss whether it should be considered a hit, a flop, or something in between. At its peak, Free rose to #31 overall on iTunes, #27 on the MediaBase HAC chart, and #26 on Billboard's Adult Pop chart. It also received nearly universal critical acclaim. What does this mean? It means Free's sales and radio play was decent overall, but certainly not spectacular. In retrospect, though I personally do like Free, it would have been a better idea to release NTYH, HTGR, or WT as the lead single, as they are better reflections of the album's music style, can be effectively performed acoustically on the promo tour (unlike Oh My!), and are much more radio friendly.
Most importantly, since Listen Up!'s album sales are only meandering around 40k, and likely won't get much past 50k without a successful new single to give a boost, I'd say Free was a mild disappointment as a lead-off single from a dollars and cents perspective.
Free's overall grade as the lead single for Listen Up!: C+
Cannot tell you how much I'd love for her to produce, promote and release a sultry hot over the top video of Spiderweb!
You and me both, bro/sista (not sure)! It's highly unlikely they would release a bonus track as a single, but if they did let that scorcher out it would tear apart the charts. It absolutely rocks my world every time I hear it.
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