NYT: Has Taylor Swift peaked?

[Miguel]

... Her ubiquity, not to mention her dating history, has begun to stir what feels like the beginning of a backlash (including both a Tumblr account and Facebook page titled “I Hate Taylor Swift,” the latter with 5,912 “likes”).

At the Golden Globes in February, the hosts Tina Fey and Amy Poehler warned Ms. Swift to “stay away from Michael J. Fox’s son,” who had accompanied his father to the ceremony, and joked that she could use “some ’me time’ to learn about herself.” Ms. Swift counterattacked in her Vanity Fair interview by quoting Katie Couric (who was quoting Madeleine Albright): “ ’There’s a special place in hell for women who don’t help other women.’ “

The incident quickly became a much-followed story on the Web and Twitter, with Ms. Poehler and Ms. Fey gently chiding Ms. Swift for taking things too seriously and others, like the talk show host Chelsea Handler, suggesting that she was fair game. “They were clearly making a joke just about her demeanor, which is embarrassing,” Ms. Handler told Andy Cohen on Bravo’s “Watch What Happens“ last Tuesday. “I mean, she’s just dated so many men.”

Can Ms. Swift, 23, take a joke? Has she been overexposed? Worse, is America’s reigning golden girl, sweetheart, country-pop crossover star and breakup-song specialist going through a quarter-life crisis?

Ms. Swift, through a publicist, declined to comment for this article. But Scott Borchetta, founder and chief executive of Big Machine Records and the man widely credited with her rise, said he believed the Vanity Fair quote was taken out of context, and voiced confidence in her staying power. “She’s so grounded,” he said. “This isn’t a person who’s going to wake up half-naked, drunk in a car somewhere in Hollywood.”

According to the marketing evaluations company Q Scores, Ms. Swift’s popularity rating, which takes into account familiarity (about 8 out of 10 people surveyed knows who she is) and appeal, peaked in 2010 at 30 out of 100. Presumably, Ms. Swift was reaping the benefits of the Kanye West debacle, when he interrupted her acceptance speech for Best Female Video by barging onstage at the MTV Video Music Awards in September 2009.

But her popularity score has since dropped by a third, to 20 this year, the lowest it’s ever been, though still 4 points higher than the average score (16) in the performer category.

“She’s not doing the kind of numbers that an advertiser would really love to see,” said Steven Levitt, president of the marketing company, noting her trajectory.

CoverGirl has let Ms. Swift’s contract expire. “We routinely evaluate our CoverGirls,” said Paige Cali, a company spokeswoman, adding that she couldn’t divulge further details except that the contract expired recently.

A Women’s Wear Daily article this week stated that Ms. Swift’s magazine covers sell fewer issues than those of her contemporaries, like Adele, Lady Gaga, Gwen Stefani, Lauren Conrad, Scarlett Johansson and Zooey Deschanel.

Mr. Levitt pointed out that this year Ms. Swift’s negative Q score, a 21, topped her positive number for the first time.

“It’s not the scores of an extraordinary performer that has substantially more positive than negative, like Tom Hanks or Will Smith,” he said. “There’s almost an equal number that rate her fair or poor. What you can surmise from that is that her rating is a function of age groups. The positive must be coming from younger age groups. A good part of the negative is from older people.”

To quote Ms. Swift’s single about middle school: “Why you gotta be so mean?”

More: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/17/fashio...d=all&_r=0

[cherelann]

Taylor is a pretty girl but so is our Haley. Taylor is a songwriter but so is our Haley. However, Taylor's singing voice is thin & pitchy and she doesn't seem to be able to laugh at herself, not at all like our Haley... Even though the Taylor craze seems to be losing its appeal I hope Haley never aspires to be the next "pop princess."

[My Alter Ego]

Has Taylor Swift peaked? Could we be that lucky??

She is a "PYT," who found extraordinary success at an early age. Her "music" is not at all "musical" to me and her voice -- well, the kindest I can be is to not say anything about it.

I suspect that we may not have heard the last of Ms. Swift. She may have a "time out, a cooling off" period, but I very much doubt that she'll "go gently into that good night."

However, if she tries penning the same type of "break up" song about her fans that she's so well known for regarding her relationships, she might find that her fan base will have permanently taken a southward trajectory.

[mercfan3]

I think its simple. If Taylor Swift wants longevity, she needs to grow up.

She doesn't have the best voice, but she is a good song writer. The issue is, she's now in her early twenties, and we're still getting songs like "We are never ever ever getting back together." (And although, after I heard it 100 times, I don't mind it anymore....that's not the point. )

She wrote a beautiful, adult song, for the Hunger Games, "Safe and Sound." http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RzhAS_GnJIc She should go in that direction.

People liked Taylor because she was a 17 year old who acted like a 17 year old. She wrote in a way that teenagers could identify with, her songs are brilliant in that way. The problem is, its getting old..and now she's a 23 year old acting like a 17 year old.

[cherelann]

^^Very good point Merc, hard to believe she and Haley are so close in age.

[Miguel]

The problem is, its getting old..and now she's a 23 year old acting like a 17 year old.

And her fans, like Justin Bieber's, are getting older as well. I think she'll make the transition to an adult audience more successfully than him.